Load and solar resource comparison

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The design process for an off-grid PV system should use conservative, worst-case values to ensure that the system is capable of meeting the energy needs of users throughout the year. There are many locations that have a significant seasonal variance in solar resource due to poor weather or latitude. Many off-grid PV systems will see a significant variance in how loads are used throughout the year, especially in locations that are only seasonally occupied. These two different factors - load usage vs. solar resource - make it important to determine what month to use in the system design as the worst-case scenario. An analysis of loads and usage could be performed on a monthly basis, but the most drastic shift in usage likely occurs between the major seasons in a given region meaning two to four times per year. Determining the worst-case month can be done using a simple table and a quick calculation. The values and calculation can be performed in Wh or kWh - the ratio is what is important. The two following values used for the design should be chosen from the month with the highest ratio of average daily watt-hours relative to average monthly insolation:

  • Design daily insolation
  • Design daily watt-hours required

Example 1: A potential off-grid PV system in Puerto Maldonado, Madre de Dios, Peru in the Amazon rainforest with PV source with a tilt of 12 degrees of PV module tilt. Solar resource data shows that despite being relatively near the equator there is significant monthly variation due to seasonal rains.[1] The load evaluation shows that loads will be used more frequently during the rainy season, which is common.

  • May (highlighted in red) has the worst ratio of solar resource relative to energy requirement throughout the year. The average monthly insolation value (135.47 kWh/m²) and Average daily Watt-hours required (3000Wh) from this month should be used in the design.
Month Average daily insolation Average daily watt-hours required Ratio
January 147.27 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 13.58
February 140.08 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 14.28
March 166.77 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 11.99
April 161.56 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 18.57
May 135.47 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 22.15
June 157.44 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 19.05
July 149.74 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 20.03
August 178.82 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 16.78
September 172.36 kWh/m² 3000 Wh 17.41
October 170.63 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 11.72
November 161.02 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 12.42
December 164.17 kWh/m² 2000 Wh 12.18

Outputs

Design daily insolation = Average monthly insolation from month with the highest ratio ÷ 30
Design daily watt-hours required = Average daily watt-hours from month with the highest ratio

Notes/references