The design process for an off-grid PV system should use conservative, worst-case values to ensure that the system is capable of meeting the energy needs of users throughout the year. There are many locations that have a significant seasonal variance in solar resource due to poor weather or latitude. Many off-grid PV systems will see a significant variance in how loads are used throughout the year, especially in locations that are only seasonally occupied. These two different factors - load usage vs. solar resource - make it important to determine what month to use in the system design as the worst-case scenario. An analysis of loads and usage could be performed on a monthly basis, but the most drastic shift in usage likely occurs between the major seasons in a given region meaning two times per year. Determining the worst-case month can be done using a simple table and a quick calculation using monthly insolation data and Average daily Wh estimates for the two different time periods October - March and April - September. The two following values used for the design should be chosen from the month with the highest ratio of average daily watt-hours relative to average monthly insolation:
- Design daily insolation
- Design daily watt-hours required
Step 1: Determine monthly ratio of energy demand to solar resource
Step 2: Determine design values
Design daily insolation
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= Average monthly insolation (kWh/m²) from month with the highest ratio ÷ 30
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Design daily watt-hours required
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= Total average daily energy demand (Wh) from month with the highest ratio
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Notes/references